·
The proportion
of eligible Indians who have taken credit at least once has more than doubled
from 35% in March 2017 to 74% in March 2026, with credit monitoring[1]
jumping from 1% to 35% between March 2018 and March 2026
·
Credit growth is
being driven by women, younger borrowers and non-metro regions with growth in
Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar outpacing that of traditional strongholds of
the west and south
·
Study shows
significant opportunity to bring more New-To-Credit (NTC) consumers as well as
NTC commercial entities into the formal credit fold
Mumbai : India’s formal credit footprint has expanded significantly over the past
nine years reveals TransUnion CIBIL’s new report, Unlocking Access: Journey of Credit
Expansion in India. The report presents a study from March 2017 to
March 2026 on how formal credit access has widened and how participation within
the ecosystem has deepened through greater demographic diversity and credit
awareness.
India’s
credit-eligible[2]
population increased from 79 crore in 2017 to 89 crore consumers in 2026. Of this
group, the share of ever-credited[3] consumers,
i.e., those who have accessed retail credit at least once, more than doubled
from 35% in March 2017 to 74% in March 2026, demonstrating the wide progress
and penetration of formal credit in India in the last few years.
The proportion of credit-active[4] consumers
within the credit-eligible[5]
population also increased during this period, from 11% in March 2017 to 28% in
March 2026. However, the compounded annual growth rate of the credit-active
consumer base moderated from 14% during the March 2017–March 2019 period to 9%
during March 2024–March 2026 period. At the same time, the share of
New-to-Credit (NTC) consumers in retail originations declined from 32% in March
2017 quarter to 13% in the March 2026 quarter. These numbers indicate
significant opportunity to both deepen engagement with those already within the
credit fold, and to bring new consumers into the formal credit ecosystem.
Chart 1: Overview of India’s Retail Credit Access March 2017 vs March
2026
(Data for 2017 calculated basis the borrower base in March 2017, while
data for 2026 is based on the borrower base of March 2026.)
Mr. Bhavesh Jain, MD and CEO, TransUnion
CIBIL, said, “The past decade has been a defining one for India’s credit
ecosystem. In the 2016-17 period, the country saw momentous changes in the form
of demonetization, the introduction of GST and the rapid adoption of Unified Payment
Interface (UPI). Over the course of the decade, regulators, banks and lenders,
NBFCs, fintechs, Credit Information Companies, technological advances and the digital
public infrastructure collectively expanded pathways to credit. The COVID-19
pandemic accelerated adoption of digital tools. Cumulatively, these
developments are believed to have contributed to increased access to credit and
financial inclusion, while enabling lenders to make more informed and timely
credit decisions.”
Borrower Wallets Shift Towards
Lifestyle-Driven and Entrepreneurial Credit
The deepening of borrower engagement was accompanied by a marked change
in the composition of credit wallets, with consumers showing a clear preference
for consumption and entrepreneurial credit.
Consumption credit[6],
comprising personal loans, credit cards and consumer durable loans, emerged as
the most widely held category. The share of credit-active consumers holding
consumption products increased from 34% in March 2017 to 51% in March 2026,
while the number of consumers holding these products grew fourfold in the same
period.
Business-oriented credit[7]
recorded an even sharper increase, with the share of credit-active consumers
holding these products rising from 3% to 9%, while their number grew tenfold –
registering the fastest expansion among the categories studied. In comparison,
while gold loan[8]
participation increased from 19% to 22%, growth in vehicle loans[9]
and mortgage products[10]
remained stable.
Chart 2: Changing Product Preferences March 2017 vs March 2026
(Data for 2017 calculated basis the credit-active borrower base in March 2017,
while data for 2026 is based on the credit-active borrower base of March 2026.)
Mr. Jain added, “The changes in
wallet composition point to how credit is being increasingly seen as a means to
drive a lifestyle-driven approach today, compared to the asset-based approach seen
a decade ago. Credit dispersion has travelled a long way thanks to consumption
loans. At the same time, the sharp increase in business loans by individuals
points to increased use of credit by individuals for entrepreneurial activity.
This creates a great opportunity for lenders to take a holistic view of
individual proprietors and their business together as part of their lending
strategies.”
A More Diverse Borrower Base Expands Credit
Participation
The widening of formal credit access was accompanied by a change in the
composition of India’s credit-active population. Women borrowers increased
their share from 22% in March 2017 to 30% in March 2026, while that of young
borrowers[11] rose
from 33% to 39% in the same period. The share of consumers from semi-urban and
rural regions (SURU) went up from 53% to 63%.
Within these expanding segments, younger consumers from semi-urban and
rural regions in particular increased their share from 47% to 61%. Among women,
the share with more than five years of retail credit experience increased from
29% to 43%, while semi-urban and rural credit-active women consumers went up to
64% in March 2026, compared to 57% in March 2017.
As credit participation widened, the share of over-leveraged borrowers[12]
originations increased from 5% in FY 2017 to 18% in FY 2024 before moderating
to 15% in FY 2026. The study noted that industry action helped stem the
increase over the last two years. Higher leverage was largely concentrated
among high-momentum demographic groups such as younger consumers.
While expansion of the borrower base has led to wide credit penetration
in the last nine years, rise in credit awareness has added depth to the credit
landscape. From nearly non-existent credit monitoring in March 2018, the
proportion of credit-active consumers who monitor their credit saw a big jump
to 35% in March 2026[13].
The share of credit-experienced consumers[14],
i.e., those with a longer credit history, increased from 38% to 54%.
Among the biggest findings of the study is the changing geographic credit
inclusion map of India. A state-wise analysis of credit uptake reveals that
growth in northern and central India has outpaced that of western and southern
India between 2017 and 2026. Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu, seen as traditional
strongholds of credit uptake, remained among the country’s largest credit
markets, although their respective shares moderated from 12% to 10% and from
11% to 9%. On the other hand, Uttar Pradesh increased its contribution from 8%
in March 2017 to 11% in March 2026, Madhya Pradesh rose from 4% to 6%, Bihar
from 3% to 5%, and West Bengal from 4% to 5%.
Chart 3: Re-writing of India’s Credit Inclusion Map
(Data for 2017 calculated basis the credit-active borrower base in March
2017, while data for 2026 is based on the credit-active borrower base of March
2026.)
“Two factors have led to the strong growth of credit in India in the last
decade – greater demographic diversity and credit awareness. The former has
enabled expansion of the borrower base by bringing in newer demographic segments
into the credit fold. The latter has added depth by allowing consumers to remain
there and use credit as a means to fulfil life goals. Women are clearly becoming
more financially aware, engaged, and driving sustainable inclusion. Thanks to digitization
and heightened credit awareness, credit maturity among women borrowers has been
impressive. For younger
borrowers, mobile phones rather than two-wheelers and vehicles appear to be
products of choice, as this mobile phone-native generation sees them as
productivity tools.
“What also stands out is how India’s state-wise credit heatmap has
undergone a gradual but clear shift. While the traditionally dominant states in
west and south India continue their strong credit uptake, states in north and
central India have seen a remarkable rise in credit participation. Our
aspiration of Viksit Bharat depends in large measure on such a pan-India
balance in credit growth, with more and more consumers moving from informal to
formal credit”, Mr. Jain explained.
Expansion in Commercial Borrower Base Creates
Further Headroom for Growth
Moving from consumer to commercial, the identified credit-eligible
commercial entity base increased from 6.3 crore in March 2021 to 8.7 crore in
March 2026. In the same period, the share of proprietorship and
partnership-driven enterprises went up from 70% to 88%, low-risk entities[15]
rose from 13% to 37% and credit-experienced entities[16]
from 30% to 40%.
However, the share of entities that have accessed commercial credit
declined from 50% to 41%, the credit-active share dipped from 10% to 9% and NTC
also went down from 60% to 39% between quarter ended March 2021 and quarter
ended March 2026. This indicates further capacity to bring eligible enterprises
and medium, small and micro entrepreneurs into formal credit.
Mr. Jain added, “There are some
big positives in the commercial story. The rise in proprietorships and
partnerships indicates that individuals are now taking more business loans
which in turn means increasing credit penetration at the grassroots level. The
increase in the number of entities rated as low-risk points to the success of
credit guarantee schemes in supporting borrowers. At the same time, the overall
numbers suggest that the wide expansion in the MSME borrower base in the last
five years has led to significant opportunity to onboard more commercial
entities, especially those that are NTC, and to deepen engagement.”
Chart
4: Diversified Commercial Growth with Enhanced Access & Improved Quality
(Data for 2021 calculated basis the borrower base in March 2021, while
data for 2026 is based on the borrower base of March 2026.)
“In essence, what this long-view study of India’s credit growth tells us
is that the last decade was a defining one for the country. The last decade is
the one in which India’s credit ecosystem came of age. If,
at the start of this decade, the credit landscape was fragmented and
collateral-led, then by the end of the decade, it had become diversified,
data-driven, digitally enabled, and increasingly disciplined. As credit
penetration and credit awareness deepened, the central question for many
borrowers moved from ‘Can I access credit?’ to ‘How far can credit take me?’
“Looking ahead, there may be significant opportunities to build further
on this strong period of credit expansion. By extending engagement with
credit-active consumers, and tapping into new-to-credit consumers and
commercial entities, our credit ecosystem can ensure balance between scale and
quality of credit participation as we continue our journey of a credit-fit
India” Mr. Jain concluded.
[1] Credit monitoring are consumers who monitored their credit with
TransUnion CIBIL in the one year preceding the period end. Studied here from
March 2018 to March 2026.
[2] Credit-eligible is the
total adult population aged between 18 to 60 as of period end
[3] Ever-credited are
consumers who have ever availed a retail loan as of period end
[4] Credit-active consumers
are those who have at least 1 retail loan with balance or limit reported on the
portfolio date
[5] Credit-eligible is the total adult population aged
between 18 to 60 years as of period end based on population estimate from the
World Bank database.
[6] Consumption loans
include personal loans, credit card and consumer durable loans
[7] Business Oriented
refers to business loans given to individuals, construction equipment loan and
commercial vehicle loan
[8] Gold includes gold
loans and PSL-gold loans
[9] Vehicle refers to
passenger vehicle loans like auto loans and two-wheeler loans
[10] Mortgage includes
housing loan and property loan
[11] Younger consumers are
aged less than 35
[12] Leverage consumers are
those classified under segment 4 and 5 based on proprietary leverage segments
developed by TransUnion CIBIL
[13] Credit monitoring are
consumers who monitored their credit with TransUnion CIBIL in last one year
from period end.
[14] Credit Experienced are
consumers who have been in the retail bureau for more than 5 years
[15] Low Risk - CIBIL
Commercial Rank (1-3).
[16] Credit Experienced are
entities who have been in the commercial bureau for more than 4 years